Christopher Luxon
Minister, Ministerial Services
Minister, National Security and Intelligence
Prime Minister
Permanent linkWell, kia ora, good afternoon, everyone. Look, firstly, can I just acknowledge the passing of Dame Jules Topp. Dame Jules, as you all know, was a trailblazing Kiwi icon, and with her sister, Dame Linda, she brought us a lot of laughter and music, I think, into all Kiwi homes. She leaves a legacy of humour, warmth, and joy, and she’s going to be sadly missed, and all in our thoughts are with her family and with all of her loved ones. Rest in peace, camp leader.
Look, on Thursday, the Government will deliver our third Budget. It comes at a time of much global volatility and uncertainty, which is putting pressure on every economy in the world, including New Zealand’s. This Budget will be about securing New Zealand’s future, protecting our economic recovery, maintaining fiscal discipline, and investing carefully in the things that matter most to all of us.
Over the last two years, our Government has focused on getting inflation down, easing pressure on interest rates, keeping taxes low, and restoring discipline to Government spending. We’ve also prioritised strengthening our relationships with international trading partners and forging new relationships, and adjusting our settings to attract investment and to support our businesses to grow. All of that work has put New Zealand in a stronger position than we would otherwise have been when the conflict in the Middle East began, which will help us bounce back much faster when the conflict comes to an eventual end.
A deluge of recent positive economic news confirms this, that despite the challenges, there are real reasons for confidence. New Zealand’s exporters continue to show real strength. In April, our total exports reached $8.6 billion, up $943 million, or 12 percent on the same month last year. Our trade surplus in April was the largest on record, at $1.92 billion. This positive trade news comes amid the ongoing situation in the Middle East, disrupting supply chains and driving up fuel prices. It reflects the agility of our exporters and the strong reputation that New Zealand has for producing quality goods and services.
For example, there is continued good global demand for our kiwifruit. You would have seen Zespri last week announce an outstanding financial result for 2025-26 with record global fruit sales of $5.9 billion, and a record $3.56 billion of that is being returned directly into the New Zealand growers across our regional communities. Another of our top export sectors is international education, which saw enrolments climb to over 92,000 international students last year, up 11 percent on the year prior, and this all suggests that the sector is now moving beyond its post-COVID recovery and into a new phase of growth.
Tourism is another success story, with new figures showing almost 360,000 international visitors arrived in March, up 15 percent on the same time last year. Annual figures show we welcomed 3.63 million international visitors in the year ending March, and that was up 9.2 percent on the previous year. Like the export news, this positive data is against the backdrop of a global fuel crisis, which reflects the confidence in New Zealand’s tourism sector. What all this positive economic data illustrates is that New Zealand is in a stronger position to withstand the impacts of the situation in the Middle East than we would have been had the conflict started two years ago.
Budget ‘26 builds on the work that we have done over the last two years to put our economy into recovery and to get it growing again. The decisions we have made in this Budget will help steer New Zealand toward a brighter and more secure future, even with all the turmoil that’s going on in the world.
Since the outset of the Middle East conflict, we’ve been clear that New Zealand can’t afford for the Government to try to ease the fuel pressure for everyone. We have therefore provided timely, targeted, and temporary support to those impacted the most by higher prices at the pump. But we know that many New Zealanders are still under pressure and worried about affordability. We also know that we cannot spend, tax, and borrow our way out of every and all challenges, especially when the world is becoming more unstable. Our job is to minimise the impact of global volatility as much as possible and to stay focused on a long-term plan that delivers more jobs, higher incomes, and greater choices for Kiwis.
That is why our fiscal strategy remains unchanged. We are committed to returning the books to surplus by 2028-29, and putting debt on a downward path towards 40 percent of GDP. That commitment will be reflected in this year’s Budget and, as we have previously signalled, the net operating package will be $2.1 billion, around $300 million lower than the allowance set in December. That shows that even in a more difficult environment, we are prepared to make tough choices carefully, reprioritise spending, and keep control of the Government’s day-to-day finances. At the same time, we will continue to back essential services such as health, education, police, and infrastructure that New Zealand needs to grow and to become more resilient to future global shocks.
Building New Zealand’s resilience to future global shocks also means improving energy security, which has been underscored by the current situation in the Middle East. Today, we are announcing that Budget ‘26 will deliver a new initiative to help businesses transition away from gas, helping them avoid rising gas prices, and saving New Zealand’s dwindling gas supplies for other users. The problem of a dwindling gas supply has been known for years, but the current situation in the Middle East has reinforced the benefits and the urgency of New Zealand securing its energy needs. I’ll now pass over to Nicola to talk through the details of the announcement, followed by Simeon and then Shane.