Post-Cabinet Press Conference: Monday, 16 August 2021

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Kia ora koutou katoa. Good afternoon. Today, I have Minister Henare and the Chief of Defence Force with me to provide an update on the situation in Afghanistan, but I do have a few other matters that I’ll run through quite quickly and then I’ll bring them up onto the podium.

First to the week ahead: it is obviously a recess week. Tomorrow, I’m in Auckland visiting the University of Auckland, Auckland Faculty of Education and Social Work rebuild project, which received shovel-ready funding to support our economic recovery in the vertical construction industry. I’ll also be opening the new Shott factory, a company that has become an economic success story both here and overseas. On Wednesday I will be in Auckland where I’ll be delivering the weekly 1 p.m. vaccine update along with Dr Bloomfield. Thursday sees me having a day in my electorate, and on Friday I travel to Ngāruawāhia for Koroneihana.

Last week was another record week for the vaccination campaign. Yesterday, we passed the 2.5 million doses milestone. Last Thursday was our biggest day ever with just under 50,000 vaccines administered, and in total 298,586 doses were delivered across the week— our largest seven-day total. This surge in vaccinations means that for all New Zealanders aged 16 and over, 40 percent have had at least one vaccine, and, of those, more than half are fully vaccinated. Since Friday, when we expended booking eligibility to people aged 50-plus, we’ve seen 114,863 bookings made by this group. This means that two-thirds of all Kiwis aged 50 and over are now either booked or vaccinated.

I would urge anyone who is over the age of 50 who has not been vaccinated to go to bookmyvaccine.nz or call 0800 28 29 26 between 8 a.m. and 8 p.m. seven days a week, and if you have any questions or concerns, talk to your doctor or someone who has been vaccinated. The greater our collective immunity, the more opportunities we’ll have in 2022. I’ll now ask the Minister of Defence and our Chief of Defence Force to please join me at the podiums. As you will have seen, the situation in Afghanistan has deteriorated rapidly over recent days. We are gravely concerned by the advance of the Taliban and the threat that poses to those attempting to get out, including foreign nationals. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs is in contact with a number of New Zealanders who remain in Afghanistan and are seeking to leave. Currently, we are aware of 53 New Zealanders in Afghanistan. All have been offered consular support. We are working through this with the utmost urgency. New Zealand remains in close contact with our partners in other Governments on the ground, and we’ll be looking at ways New Zealand can also support their humanitarian response. At Cabinet today we discussed three aspects of New Zealand’s assistance: (1) getting New Zealand citizens and their family members out safely, (2) support for Afghan nationals who assisted the New Zealand Defence Force or other Government agencies during our deployment who may be at risk, and (3) New Zealand Defence Force deployment to the region to assist with evacuations. In addition, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade officials are currently assessing options for providing support to conflict-affected Afghanis. This support will be finalised after confirming which international humanitarian agencies are best placed to deliver assistance following the dramatic changes to the operating context in Afghanistan and options are put to Cabinet.

Potential partners include the International Committee of the Red Cross, and the UN Refugee Agency. In relation to Afghan nationals seeking to come to New Zealand, Cabinet has confirmed that we will continue to make every effort to support the repatriation of New Zealand citizens and permanent residents and immediate family members travelling with them and their dependents. In addition, we also made an in-principle decision to assist in evacuating Afghan nationals who work directly with the NZDF, New Zealand Police, or

MFAT, or provided material assistance to the Operation Burnham inquiry, where there are reasonable grounds to believe that the safety of wellbeing of the individual or their immediate family has been put a risk from their association with New Zealand in Afghanistan and that no other partner Government would bear greater responsibility for their welfare. Agencies will be tasked with verifying the involvement of those individuals who may fit this criteria. This would apply to individuals and their immediate nuclear family only.

Afghan nationals who meet this criteria will receive expedited visa processing from MBIE and support from MFAT. We have shared, also, our consular list with Australia. In addition, longer term there may be opportunities to resettle additional resettlement applicants from Afghanistan. This would need to be coordinated with UN agencies and partners. At this stage, we are aware of 37 individuals who may have worked alongside the NZDF. This does not include immediate family members. There will then be those involved with Operation Burnham and those who may have worked alongside other agencies.

Finally, we have made a decision to deploy the C-130 and accompanying personnel to support the international efforts to evacuate foreign nationals and Afghan nationals, as described. Defence are in close contact with our partners in Australia to discuss operational decisions from here. We’re not in a position to share further details at this point, in some cases because details are being worked through but also because some operational decisions we will not share for security reasons. I do, however, have the Chief of Defence Force with me here today. He will be able to determine what information we are in a position to share and what we are not. So you are open to ask questions of the CDF as well. We are now happy to take questions.

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You will have seen from the reaction of the international community there simply was not an expectation that we would see the security situation in Afghanistan deteriorate as quickly as it had. We were just discussing the fact that some estimates thought that perhaps within 60 to 90 days there may be the potential of seeing what we’ve seen now, but it has happened rapidly, and so we have responded rapidly.

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Well, of course, we are making every effort to do so, and I would point out that MFAT have been aware there are New Zealanders on the ground there, working with them to provide consular assistance, and in some cases there were still commercial opportunities up until recently to get out. Those are gone, and so now we are looking to deploy an asset in order to facilitate the removal of both New Zealanders but those that we consider may be at risk because of their association with New Zealand.

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We’re not going to state where they’re going to operate, because out of Afghanistan they will go to a number of countries—this is the refugees, those wishing to get out—where they’ll be managed; in other words, where they’ll go through the detail of who the individuals are and where they are trying to go. So there’ll be a number of countries that we’ll have to operate from.

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So just to track back a little bit, so you’ll be aware that back in 2012, when the then National Government made arrangements for the resettlement of interpreters, they created a definition that has been used since that time. And so at that time there was an assumption that there might be roughly 65, at that time, that would fall into that category, minus dependants. There were then—they knew at that time there were other staff that may have worked alongside NZDF but who were not eligible, and that’s the criteria that’s been used since. Over the last three to four weeks we’ve had contact from those who would not have fallen in the category set by the previous Government seeking assistance. Minister Phil Twyford was receiving those. He, of course, at that time was having to work within that old criteria for applications. He was coming to the view that that would need to be changed. The decisions by Cabinet have now overridden that completely. So we are going further than we did in 2012—than the then Government did—but the circumstances have changed considerably, also.

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So I have had some discussions at the highest level with Australia, but that has predominantly been around some of the potential for operational deployment. Each country will make their own individual decisions around who it is that they’re supporting and assisting. Really, for us it’s about making sure that what we’re engaging with on the ground—we’re making the best use of our assets as we can together. Minister Henare and I have spoken since that time and made sure, of course, that everyone that needed to be connected at an operational level was.

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Thank you, Prime Minister. As has already been mentioned, the situation deteriorated faster than all of the intelligence was suggesting, and there are questions about—as we reflect upon our contribution to the province and to Afghanistan over many years, I want to be quite clear: approximately 3,500 of our personnel have been sent there and have served there. We have lost 10 personnel during that time, and we mourn their loss. If we reflect back on it, I am confident and I believe that our contribution is a positive one. I know there are comments and speculation about other areas there, but I think I take the words from the then Prime Minister who commented today that ultimately, when we reflect on it, it will have been considered a positive contribution to our time there.

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Yeah, so, look, just to give a bit of context, this is not going to be a situation where, say, in the next week individuals will be evacuated and then brought to New Zealand immediately. There will be an element of processing and the involvement of third countries. That will enable us some time to work through the wider logistical arrangements around managed isolation. We also believe at this stage that the numbers will be small enough that we can manage that within the contingency that we have without having a significant impact on those more broadly seeking space through our MIQ facilities.

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Yeah, Jason, I simply wouldn’t be able to tell you what the communication—at the moment, that communication’s predominantly coming through Immigration New Zealand. Obviously, they’ll be made aware of announcements made today. What we’ll need to work through with agencies is the information provided to individuals in order to really expedite processing of people in what is a very difficult environment. So of course we’ll be seeking to verify their identity, match them against lists provided by agencies around who it was that were directly connected with our efforts, and then there’ll be a processing point in a third country, as well.

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Look, I don’t think it’s fair to characterise it in that way, keeping in mind that our operations at that time have spanned over a long period of time. In 2012, when this was first given consideration, the view was there was a specific group that was at the most risk, and they have been resettled in New Zealand. Now the security profile has changed dramatically, so we’re casting more broadly at those who we may consider to be at risk. And also, we’ve had the Operation Burnham inquiry since that time as well, which adds an additional layer of risk for a new group of people.

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So, look, just to be—I’ll make one quick comment on the visa side, and then leave the rest to the CDF. We are not asking people, for instance, to attend an office in order to undertake bureaucratic processing. We will try and make sure that what we’re doing is streamlined with the evacuation process as much as possible. That will be our focus, because we understand the situation on the ground. So it does mean some processing will happen in third country.

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Yes, a number of these people have already contacted Foreign Affairs and Immigration. So they are in contact. We’re waiting for some of the 37 to finish that communication, but a lot of the processing will be done, as the Prime Minister said, out of country. And so the process will be: turn up, identify the individual as much as we can, and allow them to depart. And it won’t necessarily just be on a New Zealand aircraft; it will be on one of the number of countries that are evacuating citizens—their own citizens—and those who have been identified at risk.

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Because of the difficulty in the processing side of things, and the usual checks and balances we would run, this actually was something we had experience, or Government agencies had experience with, in 2012. So they’ve had an experience of having to try and verify people’s identity and their involvement with agencies. We’ll be using those learnings for this case, but we are asking those agencies—and they do carry lists of those who are being engaged—that they support us and assist us in verifying individuals.

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Yeah, one of the things that the international community is calling on the Taliban to demonstrate is a willingness to allow people to leave, and that includes foreign nationals, but it may include, of course, these individuals as well. You know, we’re at a period here where the whole world is watching. The Taliban are making claims about the kind of administration they wish to be. Here, we would implore them: allow people to leave safely, and, secondly, demonstrate that you are going to be an administration that takes into account the wellbeing, for instance, of women and girls, the ability to be educated—all those things the international community have been calling on for some time, because the whole world will be watching. [Interruption] Oh, it will all come down to, you know, what’s demonstrated. It’s not a matter of trust; it’s going to be all about the actions, not the words.

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And again, as I say, who came in 2012. We are having to prioritise those groups here who I’ve identified, not only because there will be limited capacity for international groups to be able to come in and extract individuals quickly, the ability for us to process people through quickly, and get them out quickly, which is why we’re prioritising those security concerns. The number of people that you’re talking to are in their hundreds and hundreds, so it’s not something that could be easily done.

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So it’s really speculative at this stage. What Cabinet has given is a direction around those individuals, which, as you can see, is fairly tightly defined, but what we can’t then make an assumption over is how many dependents, how many children they may have. But we have said nuclear family is where we’ll be focused, because they face the greatest risk, and they also, of course, are reliant on one another to support one another.

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There or thereabouts. So 37—you can make assumptions over how many dependants there might be then. Then we’ve got Operation Burnham. The numbers there are quite small, but plus dependants. And then there is a small group who may have been working alongside MFAT for the delivery of aid projects, for instance, but again, they’re smallish numbers. Really, the unknown is the dependents. The primary people themselves are relatively small.

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Yeah, look, at this stage, as you can see, the entire focus of Cabinet was around the evacuation of New Zealanders and those Afghanis who have been associated with New Zealand in recent times. We did not have a discussion about the future recognition or otherwise of a future administration, but I imagine that the international community will be giving some consideration to these issues in the near future. Again, for us, New Zealand will always fall back on its values. What we want to see is human rights upheld. We want to see women and girls being able to access work and education. These are things that traditionally have not been available to them when there has been governance by the Taliban. And so I would just, again, implore those who have made these moves in recent days to acknowledge what the international community has called for: human rights and the safety of their people.

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There was some—as I understand, Minister Twyford was giving consideration. I can’t be clear though, Derek. I think it would be unfair to say that he would necessarily have been aware of those individual circumstances at that time when we were receiving some of that correspondence. But, again, he certainly, as I understand, identified that there was a need for us to broaden, given the security situation; obviously, that’s what we’ve done.

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I’ll give an initial response, and then to the CDF. You can see here that we have a number of New Zealanders who are on the ground—they’re citizens, they’re permanent residents, they have dependants—for a number of reasons have found themselves in Afghanistan in a situation where the security situation has evolved and deteriorated dramatically in a short space of time. Now, our view is that with that number, including, then, those that we feel a responsibility for because of their connection to the Defence Force and our time there, that we believe that we need to contribute. It doesn’t mean that we will individually—everyone we will bring home will necessarily be a New Zealander. We might be supporting other countries with their evacuation of their foreign nationals in order to support them to get to their homes. But also availability.

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I believe, given the circumstances in front of us, we are doing everything that we can, you know, with the information that we had at that time. You can see here we have broadened the criteria that’s been used in the past. There are more people we’re now trying to assist, and not only that; we’re making our people available to try and get them out. It is not an easy endeavour, but we believe we have a responsibility to that small number of people who supported us to now support them. Keeping in mind that before today, there were even commercial flights coming and going—that changed in a very short time frame.

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Prime Minister, can I just ask you to reflect, 20 years on, when New Zealand joined the invasion, it was very clearly around terrorists and around al-Qaeda; Osama bin Laden was found in a different country—ancillary to that was, you know, we brought in a new Government when the Taliban left. That Government’s now fallen—10 lives lost.

Looking back, was it worth it?

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Oh, I think it would be a complete disservice, as the Minister of Defence has said, to somehow go back and rewrite history when those decisions at that time were made with the best information available and with a view that we could make a contribution for the better to Afghanistan and its people, and every single one of those Defence Force personnel who went in there went in there to do that very thing—to try and make life better for the people of Afghanistan. So I’m not going to rewrite history on that. Those decisions were made with the best of intentions at that time, and to those who were part of that, I want to say that you did make a difference. The circumstances in front of us now, however, have changed things dramatically.

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As the CDF has said, one of the roles of the Defence Force is to ensure that they have capability at all times to deploy at any time. So that’s one of the incredible things about our Defence Force—that no matter whether there is a national emergency, a civil defence emergency, or a call for an international deployment, they’re always focused on trying to ensure that at any given time, they’re able to deploy quickly. And you can see that at work here, given that they’re able to make themselves available for deployment at this turnaround.

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Look, to be frank with you, the readout I had was that whether or not that had actually got past Sport New Zealand and gone through the process in its totality or not. I also heard competing information and advice as to the flexibility of their timings for racing, because, of course, you’ll know that we’re very constrained through certain months, and in other months less so. I haven’t had a chance to complete that brief, so I wouldn’t mind doing that before I give you a final answer on that, because I think any other answer might be a bit premature. You’ll forgive me that we had quite an evolving situation, so I spent most of my time on that rather than the sailing, so forgive me.

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Well, obviously, for coal use, you’ll know that we’re going through a process around coal use in New Zealand as we speak, and phasing out particularly the use in coal-fired boilers and so on. So, obviously, we’re already making progress in that area and have intention to set out a trajectory for that in the future. For onshore oil and gas, we haven’t made any decisions other than the current status quo in that area, but, obviously, our decision around offshore was a significant one. But I have nothing further to report on that for the immediate future. What I would signal to everyone to, of course, look to as the next decision-making milestone for us is our emission reduction plans that will demonstrate how we believe that we can meet our carbon budgets, particularly that first budget in the short term. Considerably harder in that first plan, because, of course, anything that you do in the short term less likely to have that immediately effect, but that’ll be the place where you’ll see our next tranche of decisions.

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Oh yes, the issue of—so, as you’ll be aware, apparently in 2017, as part of my by-election campaign, I received a donation from Caniwi. I have no recollection of receiving that donation. However, I can tell you that when I receive donations I generally go through a process of familiarising myself with whether they’re individuals that I know, so all that indicates is in 2017 I was not aware of Troy Bowker or any of his views that I am now subsequently aware of. Obviously, the money that was donated to me in 2017 was used for the purposes of a by-election campaign, and was spent on a by-election campaign—which was successful. So, ultimately, I became elected as the MP for Mount Albert. I imagine that now Mr Bowker is probably quite unhappy with the outcome of his donation.

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Well, it was registered as Caniwi—so, obviously, not in the name of Troy Bowker. And it just did not occur to me, because it’s not a name that was in my mind as having received a donation from. Although, as I said, at that time my usual process was familiarising myself with the nature of the company and/or individual. So I would do checks like that, but there was nothing that sent a red flag to me at that time.

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So all of the reconnection plan that we presented to you was based on our current eligibility. So, of course, that takes us to 16 and above. So we didn’t bank in any of our assumptions the idea of vaccinating anyone else who had not yet been approved. So that was the basis on which we set out that reconnection plan. Because, of course, our reconnection plan should always be based on evidence and advice, we need to complete those processes before we make decisions on any other age group.

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Yeah, so some of you will have perhaps seen the research that came out of the Doherty Institute, and their suggestion was that—and you will have heard me reference this in our reconnection plan—that young adults are a particular focus because they do seem to be a strong point of transmission in Australia. And so that is why it will be important for us to look across each age cohort, not just the most vulnerable but those who may be a risk to the most vulnerable because they are a point of transmission. When it comes to children, our decisions there will be based on the evidence and advice around children, because we want to make sure that we make those decisions based on what the research and evidence and our experts are telling us. We have an expectation that we’ll be able to share those views in the not too distant future.

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This is why we maintain an elimination strategy. And that, actually, I found a really useful point that was made on the forum by the immunologist that was represented there, Maia. She made the point that people have claimed that we should just open up because those who choose not to be vaccinated should somehow just suffer the consequences. We don’t seem to keep in mind that not everyone will necessarily be eligible for vaccination. So that’s, again, another reason why an elimination strategy alongside a vaccination plan and cautious borders is the way to go.

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So what we were saying that we were looking for was containment, and so that continues to be criteria. You know, I don’t think anyone in New Zealand would expect us to open up to a state that still had an uncontrolled outbreak. So that criteria we are firm on, but, of course, we will still assess what is happening in other states. But we’ll always make a decision in the best interests of New Zealand, because it will be made at a time before we completed our roll-out.

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As you’ve already seen Professor David Skegg point out, Delta has completely changed the game when it comes to COVID, because all of the assumptions that we make around the effectiveness of isolation and contact tracing is based on sometimes longer periods of time. It doesn’t mean that those things aren’t important; they are. But to give yourself the best shot, moving hard and early is the way to go, which is why we’ve signalled if we had a case we couldn’t identify, that a level 4 is what you could expect.