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Does the Minister agree with the "use of a single high-end emissions pathway" for land-use planning decisions, which remains current practice in leading jurisdictions including the UK and Australia, as noted in the briefing 26-BRF-00956 'The use of climate projections in the first generation of the New Zealand Flood Map' dated 19/05/2026?

Answered Question 37180 (2026)
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Asked by

Lan Pham

List MP · Green Party

Question

  • Does the Minister agree with the "use of a single high-end emissions pathway" for land-use planning decisions, which remains current practice in leading jurisdictions including the UK and Australia, as noted in the briefing 26-BRF-00956 'The use of climate projections in the first generation of the New Zealand Flood Map' dated 19/05/2026?

Answered by

Hon Simon Watts

Member for North Shore · National Party · Minister of Climate Change

Answer

New Zealand’s approach to climate projections prioritises the use of multiple scenarios. This is consistent with the suite of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways available in the national climate projections including lower, intermediate, high and very high pathways.